:
Number of months/year with mean temperature < 0°C (averaged over 2046-2065) simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at
a 4 km x 4 km spatial resolution using future climate projections provided
through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php).
Future climate drivers were generated using statistical
downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in
this case MIROC 3.2 medres (Hasumi and Emori 2004) under the A2 emission
scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures
and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 4km historical baseline
(Daly et al. 1994).
Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin (http://databasin.org/climate-center/features/mc1-dynamic-global-vegetation-model).
References:
Bachelet
D., R.P. Neilson, J. M. Lenihan, and R.J. Drapek. 2001. Climate change effects
on vegetation distribution and carbon budget in the U.S. Ecosystems 4:164-185.
Daly, C., R.P. Neilson, and
D.L. Phillips. 1994. A statistical topographic model for mapping climatological
precipitation over mountainous terrain. Journal of Applied Meteorology
33:140–158.
Hasumi, H., and S. Emori, Eds.
2004. K?1 Coupled GCM (MIROC) Description, K?1 Tech. Rep. 1, 34 pp., Cent. for
Clim. Syst. Res., Tokyo, Japan. Available online at http://www.ccsr.u?tokyo.ac.jp/kyosei/hasumi/MIROC/tech?repo.pdf
Naki?enovi?, N. and R. Swart, Eds. 2000. Emissions Scenarios: A Special Report
of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K.