Distribution models for Beringian Species-at-Risk & Endemic plants (All 66 species)

The maps are distribution models for species-at-risk and endemic plant species of Beringia (Alaska and the Yukon) under current and future change scenarios. The models were generated as a part of the study aimed at conserving species-at-risk in Canada. The methods used to generate the models were detailed in the published study. See https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/ddi.13674 (Warming drives poleward range contractions of Beringian endemic plant species at high latitudes).

The models were labelled with the name of the species and suffixed by model scenarios. The files with _C are the current models and those with _CNMR and _UKESM are the future models. The current models were generated using the 1970-200 climatology baselines. The future models were generated for 20-year period from 2021 through 2040 and with two General Circulation Models, namely CNMR-ESM2 and UKESM1-0-LL— Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 6—based on the intermediate socio-economic pathway (SSP2-45). That is, the future models were suffixed by the abbreviated names of the respective GCMs used in making them. See https://climatena.ca/ for the climate data source

The data value represents probability of occurrence, ranging from 0 to 1 but they have been multiplied by 1000 for computational reasons. The data were provided in WGS84 geographic coordinate system and at 4km (0.0416667 degree) resolution.