Burn Probability for Fireline Intensity Class 5, predicted for 2020 to 2040 for Rio Grande study area

Burn probability (BP) for Fireline Intensity Class 5 (FIL5) with flame lengths in the range of 2.4-3.7 m predicted for the 2020-2040 period in the Rio Grande area. This raster dataset was generated using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the 8.5 Representative Concentration Pathway.