FL2070 Development Scenarios

This dataset contains a representation of developed lands projected to occur in the Alternative 2070 scenario from the Florida 2070 project. Florida 2070 and its companion project Water 2070 were a joint effort of 1000 Friends of Florida, the University of Florida's GeoPlan Center and the Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services. The work was completed in December 2016. Florida 2070 produced three land use/population distribution scenarios Baseline 2010, Trend 2070 and Alternative 2070. The two 2070 scenarios are based on a population projection derived from data produced by the Florida Bureau of Economic and Business Research. This projection suggests approximately 15 million more people will live in Florida in 2070 than did in 2010. The Baseline 2010 captures the patterns of land use and associated population distribution that existed in 2010. Trend 2070 captures a potential pattern of land use and associated population distribution for 2070, should all new development occur in greenfields at the same gross urban density as was present in each county in 2010. Alternative 2070 captures a potential pattern of land use and associated population distribution for 2070 that assumes increased levels of redevelopment of existing urban areas, increased gross urban densities in greenfields over those of 2010, and protection for some agricultural and natural lands. Water 2070 uses the three Florida 2070 scenarios to estimate development and agriculture demand for each census block expressed in gallons per day per acre. Summary reports, technical reports, and maps for download for both studies can be found at: http://1000friendsofflorida.org/florida2070/