LandCast: Projected Population, 2050

May 27, 2016 (Last modified Oct 5, 2016)
Uploaded by Ian Johnson
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Description:
Developed by the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), the LandCast 2050 High-Resolution Population Projection models future national-level human population densities. The models estimate the probability of a population being at a particular location, which measures where people will likely be in the future—not necessarily their places of residence. 

The LandCast 2050 data set is an empirically-informed spatial distribution of projected population of the contiguous U.S. for 2050 compiled on a 30” x 30” latitude/longitude grid. Population projections of county level numbers were developed using a modified version of the U.S. Census’s projection methodology with the U.S. Census’s official projection as the benchmark. 

Projected census counts were apportioned to each grid cell based on locally adaptive likelihood coefficients, which are based on land cover, slope, road proximity, distances to larger cities, a moving average of current population, and other data sets. The LandCast 2050 data set was developed for estimating ambient populations at risk.

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Data Provided By:
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
USDA Forest Service's EFETAC
UNC Asheville's NEMAC
Data Hosted by:
ScienceBase (USGS) View Record
Map Service URL:
https://www.sciencebase.gov/arcgis/rest/services/Catalog/5748b699e4b07e28b664ddac/MapServer/
Content date:
not specified
Citation:
Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Global Population Project, 2015
Spatial Resolution:
EPSG: 4326
Contact Organization:
ORNL LandCast 2050 
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not specified
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Creative Commons LicenseThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
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Dataset Type:
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https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/5748b699e4b07e28b664ddac

About the Uploader

Ian Johnson
Geospatial Analyst with NEMAC

Geospatial Analyst at UNC Asheville's NEMAC