About
The gallery includes several projections of changes in vegetation cover,
carbon stocks and fire occurrence by Brendan Rogers (Oregon State
University 2009 Master's thesis) using the dynamic global vegetation
model MC1, developed by the US Forest Service/Oregon State University
MAPSS team. Future climate scenarios include three general circulation
model projections and one emission scenario, A2 (1250ppm of CO2 and 15
billion people in 2100 with an average global warming of 2-5.4 deg C).
Please note that results published in Brendan's thesis had some problems (the plant's response to climate seasonality was off and some of the input data were incorrect) and that the model was recalibrated subsequently. This gallery is providing the latest updated results.
For more information:
Rogers, B. M., R. P. Neilson, R. Drapek, J. M.
Lenihan, J. R. Wells, D. Bachelet,
and B. E. Law. 2011. Impacts of
climate change on fire regimes and carbon stocks of the U.S. Pacific Northwest.
J. Geophys. Res. 116, G03037,
doi:10.1029/2011JG001695.